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FX markets were nervously quiet in Asian session, just waiting for a directional catalysis. Initially, the deputy governor of the PBoC and the head of the SAFE, Yi Gang, at a press conference in Asia, provided some detailed and honest comments regarding China’s foreign exchange and reserve policy. These comments reinforce remarks made on Friday from PBoC Gov. Zhou and Prime Minister Wen. On the…

Risk appetite has been cautiously creeping back into FX markets at the start of this trading week. While a one day doesn’t make a trend, the broader environment is shaping up to support a sustained rally in risk sentiment. First of all, the passing of the new austerity measures by the Greek congress on Friday was a step in the right direction. While unions immediately called for a general strike…

This week’s sale of Greek debt has gone unequivocally well; with pension funds and insurance companies alike lapping up the chance to secure 10 year bonds at a mouth-watering 6.35% yield. Compare that with Spain’s similar 5 year offering yesterday which went for 3% and the fact that this yield represents a hefty 295 basis points more than comparable German debt, and it’s clear to see why…

We still can’t shake the admission from the Greek Prime Minister that there were “holes” in the budget and tax collection was in “shambles”. While markets have initially embraced the Greek announcement of a 3rd set of new austerity programs, we have a hard time believing that these optimistic goals are actually attainable. It’s easy to austerity “grandstand”, the hard part is execution and we are…

Barring a bombshell from the Greek austerity press conference, we believe markets will stay relatively quiet ahead of the BoE, ECB and Fridays NFP. In this environment, we will be looking to play the daily ranges. Leaks of the announcement conference have spilled out, with media outlets citing Greek government sources, saying that the government has decided on $6.5 billion in extra austerity…

Barring a bombshell from the Greek austerity press conference, we believe markets will stay relatively quiet ahead of the BoE, ECB and Fridays NFP. In this environment, we will be looking to play the daily ranges. Leaks of the announcement conference have spilled out, with media outlets citing Greek government sources, saying that the government has decided on $6.5 billion in extra austerity…

Markets were quiet until Europe woke up, where we saw a steady unwind of risk. The EURUSD traded down to 1.3490 from 1.3560, while the GBPUSD fell to 1.4860 from 1.4960. While in the mid-term we are short risk right now these pairs are well oversold and we would expect a near term term risk rally. There was really no single catalyst for the move, rather a continuation of yesterday’s…

Markets seem to be in a state of paralysis, unable to find a clear direction this Monday morning. The EURUSD was contained in a tight 100 pip range, while the USDJPY languished right below the Ichimoku daily could cover. Starting this week, the early part of March is filled with events which have the ability to truly shift market direction. This week is packed with macro G10 economic data…

Markets seem to be in a state of paralysis, unable to find a clear direction this Monday morning. The EURUSD was contained in a tight 100 pip range, while the USDJPY languished right below the Ichimoku daily could cover. Starting this week, the early part of March is filled with events which have the ability to truly shift market direction. This week is packed with macro G10 economic data…

The EUR and GBP had a very tough day yesterday, while the JPY was by far the primary beneficiary. Risk aversion was rampant, due to the worries over a Greek downgrade and poor US economic data. This includes a durable goods number, which came out strong but, in further investigation, was weaker than the headlines had suggested. While the EUR was suffering from gloomy comments issued by rating…